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2024/04/08 今日新聞

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今天好累 台北下雨 但很涼快 祝大家平安順利、開心發財🙏😄 🍀🍀🎉🎉💰💰 【油市新聞】 路透社:俄羅斯正在尋求從哈薩克進口汽油,以防俄羅斯市場短缺。原因是歲修和烏克蘭無人機襲擊造成的損害而導致煉油能力下降。 俄羅斯已要求哈薩克做好可能交付 10 萬噸汽油的準備。如果目前國內供應不足以滿足需求,俄羅斯也準備從白俄羅斯進口汽油。 據估計,俄羅斯從3月1日起實施為期六個月的出口禁令,以確保需求旺季有充足的國內供應,因此將透過鐵路出口的汽油削減了一半。一些煉油廠正在進行定期維護和緊急維修(後者因烏克蘭無人機襲擊)。 路透社估計,因烏克蘭無人機攻擊而關閉的俄羅斯煉油產能佔俄羅斯煉油總產能的14%。由於無人機襲擊,每天有 90 萬桶煉油產能關閉。 最近,強勁的春季洪水導致俄羅斯一家煉油廠關閉,因為洪水破壞了該地區的一座大壩,迫使數千人撤離。 ---- ---- 俄羅斯能源部長舒爾吉諾夫(Nikolai Shulginov)上週表示,該國所有因無人機襲擊而受損的煉油廠將在6月初之前重啟。"煉油廠正在進行維修。我們計劃在4月至5月修復後重啟一些煉油廠,可能在6月初之前" 。 ---- ---- 由於有跡象顯示哈馬斯和以色列之間有可能停火,油價在週一(4/08)回落。 以色列週末將部分軍隊撤出加薩後,本週開始,基準價格每桶下跌約 1 美元,導致布蘭特原油跌破 90 美元,西德州中質原油跌破 86 美元。 IG分析師西卡摩爾 (Tony Sycamore) 表示:"看來主因是以色列表示已從加薩南部地帶撤出除一個旅外的所有部隊,這可能是為了應對日益增長的國際壓力,並緩解上週在敘利亞殺害伊朗高級指揮官後的緊張局勢。" 同時,隨著以色列和哈馬斯在開齋節假期前派出團隊前往埃及進行談判,停火談判得以恢復,不過哈馬斯官員週一表示,新一輪談判沒有取得任何進展。 然而,伊朗對以色列襲擊德黑蘭駐大馬士革領事館的反應仍然是影響價格的一個因素,而且在總統萊西 (Ebrahim Raisi ) 發誓要報復之後,這也是一個看漲的因素。 石油的上行波動依然存在,這在很大程度上要歸功於地緣政治加劇了其他地區的供應短缺。 價格下跌也源自於預計本週將發布三份備受關注的有關全球石油市場狀況的報告。首先是美國能源信息署 (EIA) 的短期能源展望 (STEO),將於週...

Celebrate Every Day

We only live every day once and are eternally grateful for the chance to be thinking our good thoughts, saying good words, eating good foods, and doing good things. (1) "Be happy and grateful" should be the primary goal Healthy diet, plenty of sports activity, and helping our friends and family are all part of our every day existence. But they should aid our pursuit of a happy and grateful life. We're only strong and effective (in doing those good things) when we are healthy and happy. Moderation and good balance is they key. (2) Stay calm and give others and yourself the benefit of doubt Things often work themselve out. So as long as we have a plan (and a plan B) there is no need to worry too much about the future. Give yourself and others some "margins for error" or some "breathing room". (3) Stay positive and do what you do best Success requires continual and deliberate practice, esepcially if we want to sustain that success and build on that succes...

Surround Yourself with Positivity

OK, this blog is starting to get a bit philosophical. But I want to keep a record of all the new insights I have acquired. So here goes... ML/DL lesson for life too : Need a way to revise and move towards your goal (e.g. minimal loss or maximum accuracy). This means we need to find a process to assess how we're doing in life relative to our intended lifelong goals. This is a continuous process like the (- learning rate * gradient) update rule that keeps us moving towards our objective. Ask: 1. Am I wasting my time? (Am I adding value? Am I contributing towards my goals?) 2. Am I with the right people? (Are these people supporting me? Inspiring me? Teaching me?) 3. Am I trapped by fantasies, unrealistic dreams, ? (Can I continue to make progress?) You must have a stop-loss mechanism . If an activity is no longer serving you, if a friend is always giving you trouble, if you're stuck in a job you can't see yourself doing in 5 years time, you need to move on. Stop Trying in Vai...

New Habits for 2021

I'm reading Deep Learning for Coders with fastai and PyTorch  to learn machine learning / deep learning. And the authors inspired beginners like me to start a blog to write down things I've learned and things I've found useful. This is such a good idea. And so will mainly serve myself to record my journey in ML and DL as well as my passion in investment analysis and living a good life in general. If you happen to come across my blog, I hope you'll find useful bits of info that gives you something new to think about. Meanwhile, I'll just randomly share whatever comes to mind. There are 4 for today: (1) ML/DL: Use and Build on Others' Successful Models I guess this is like standing on the shoulders of giants. We should constantly study what works best (and what causes problems) and make it applicable to our needs. This is the idea of using pretrained models  and transfer learning . (2) Running: Know Your Limit, Take Care of Your Body and Listen To It Super slow ru...